Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.039325 0.042773 0.046249 0.050008 0.053952 0.057962 0.062341
2025-10-12 0.033908 0.038975 0.044250 0.050127 0.056469 0.063084 0.070484
2025-10-19 0.030094 0.036360 0.043074 0.050747 0.059222 0.068246 0.078534
2025-10-26 0.027029 0.034208 0.042102 0.051332 0.061730 0.072998 0.086043
2025-11-02 0.023085 0.030700 0.039310 0.049609 0.061447 0.074492 0.089821
2025-11-09 0.020463 0.028486 0.037785 0.049137 0.062409 0.077245 0.094893
2025-11-16 0.018331 0.026670 0.036567 0.048878 0.063496 0.080044 0.099941
2025-11-23 0.017344 0.026164 0.036835 0.050306 0.066496 0.085001 0.107433
2025-11-30 0.016337 0.025543 0.036891 0.051421 0.069082 0.089451 0.114329
2025-12-07 0.015245 0.024724 0.036633 0.052096 0.071099 0.093207 0.120401
2025-12-14 0.014020 0.023639 0.035965 0.052204 0.072383 0.096064 0.125401
2025-12-21 0.013379 0.023294 0.036207 0.053415 0.074990 0.100479 0.132229
2025-12-28 0.011931 0.021765 0.034870 0.052619 0.075145 0.102005 0.135712
2026-01-04 0.011023 0.020939 0.034416 0.052918 0.076636 0.105133 0.141107
2026-01-11 0.010349 0.020403 0.034317 0.053650 0.078653 0.108890 0.147260
2026-01-18 0.009701 0.019862 0.034175 0.054301 0.080552 0.112500 0.153240
2026-01-25 0.008332 0.018107 0.032268 0.052540 0.079323 0.112224 0.154486
2026-02-01 0.007480 0.017097 0.031353 0.052062 0.079702 0.113905 0.158089
2026-02-08 0.006763 0.016248 0.030625 0.051800 0.080331 0.115878 0.162037
2026-02-15 0.006575 0.016273 0.031169 0.053283 0.083245 0.120719 0.169522
2026-02-22 0.006313 0.016152 0.031482 0.054440 0.085728 0.125023 0.176358
2026-03-01 0.005955 0.015831 0.031477 0.055140 0.087601 0.128556 0.182246
2026-03-08 0.005481 0.015264 0.031070 0.055252 0.088678 0.131074 0.186874